City-wide metrics

Public trust

What it represents: The population’s confidence that the Patrician and the guild system will maintain order, provide essential services, and keep the city functioning. Not affection. Vetinari doesn’t need to be loved, but a pragmatic acceptance that things work.

Starting value: “Business as usual”, the baseline after centuries of pragmatic tyranny. The city functions; people grumble but go about their business. The Patrician has arranged things so that removing him would cause chaos, which people trust him to prevent.

Decay behaviours:

Incident Type

Trust Impact

Mechanism

Combined utility outage (power + water)

Severe

People can tolerate one thing failing. Two at once feels like the city is collapsing.

Guild strike or internal war

Critical

The entire social contract depends on guilds regulating themselves. If they fight, the system fails.

Watch failure (crime wave, delayed response)

Moderate to Severe

Depends on district. Nap Hill trust crashes fast; Shades trust had nowhere to fall.

Single utility failure (water but power works)

Mild

People complain; trust erodes slowly.

Transport failure (bridge closed)

Moderate

Commuters notice; economic impacts compound.

Symbolic failure (museum theft, theatre fire)

Mild

Cultural institutions failing signals decay, but doesn’t threaten survival.

Narrative amplification

Multiplier

A failure that becomes a story (drinking water brown, river on fire) damages trust 2-3x more than a quiet failure.

Recovery behaviours:

Remedy

Trust Recovery Rate

Mechanism

Technical restoration

Fast initial, then plateau

“They fixed it” generates immediate relief, but lingering suspicion remains.

Resilience investment

Slow but permanent

Announcing upgrades rebuilds trust gradually; visible improvements (new pipes) accelerate it.

Compensatory measures

Moderate, temporary

Free beer or tax breaks buy goodwill, but expire. If root cause persists, trust falls back.

Accountability actions

Variable

Scapegoating works short-term; genuine reform works long-term. Wrong target (blaming someone popular) backfires.

Time alone

Very slow

If nothing else happens, trust slowly regenerates as people forget. Months to years.

Special cases:

  • Vimes effect: If Vimes personally intervenes in a failure, trust recovers faster in the Shades and Cockbill Street, but may cause resentment elsewhere (“he cares more about them than us”).

  • Moist von Lipwig effect: If Moist is put in charge of fixing something, trust initially drops (con man!), then recovers dramatically if he succeeds.

Budget

What it represents: City Treasury. Not just gold in the vault, but the city’s capacity to spend on repairs, compensation, and investment. Includes tax revenue, guild contributions, and emergency borrowing capacity.

Starting treasury: “Comfortable but not extravagant.” Vetinari runs a tight ship; there’s reserve for genuine emergencies, but not enough to fix everything at once. Major projects require guild loans.

Income sources per “turn” (say, monthly):

Source

Contribution

Reliability

Notes

Taxes (general)

High

Stable

Based on economic activity; dips during disruptions.

Guild fees

Moderate

Very Stable

Guilds pay for their charters; hard to increase quickly.

Trade tariffs

Variable

Unstable

Depends on river traffic, road conditions, foreign relations.

University contribution

Low

Extremely Stable

UU pays a symbolic amount; trying to increase it is politically impossible.

Emergency borrowing

High (one-time)

Available

From guilds or wealthy families. Comes with political strings.

Expenditure costs (per remedy application):

Remedy

Base Cost

Cost Multipliers

Notes

Technical restoration

Moderate

District infrastructure quality (worse = more expensive)

Fixing a pump in Nap Hill is cheap; in the Shades, you’re rebuilding the whole street.

Resilience investment

High

District wealth level (richer = more expensive upgrades)

Nap Hill demands brass pipes; Small Gods accepts clay.

Compensatory measures

Low to Moderate

Population affected

Tax breaks cost future revenue; free beer costs now.

Accountability actions

Low

Political capital, not gold

Firing someone is cheap; hiring their replacement later is not.

Special behaviours:

  • Crisis spending: During a major incident, the Patrician can authorise emergency funds beyond normal budget, but this depletes reserves and may require guild approval.

  • Guild loans: Available immediately, but the guild will expect favours later. Mr Boggis doesn’t forget.

  • Narrative effect on income: If trust drops below a threshold, tax collection becomes “difficult” (passive resistance, “mistakes” in accounting).

Regulatory pressure

What it represents: The combined force of the guilds, the nobility, and the Patrician himself demanding action, compliance, or accountability. Not a measure of laws, but of enforcement attention.

Starting value: Moderate. The guilds regulate themselves; the Patrician regulates the guilds. A stable equilibrium of mutual suspicion.

What increases it:

Trigger

Pressure Increase

Mechanism

Guild complaint

Moderate

A guild officially demands action. Downey (Assassins) complaining carries weight.

Noble outcry

Moderate to High

Lord Rust writing letters to the Patrician. Multiple nobles amplify.

Watch request

Low to Moderate

Vimes asking for resources or authority. Usually granted.

Media campaign

Moderate

The Ankh-Morpork Times runs a series. Public opinion mobilizes guilds.

Repeated failures

Cumulative

Same district, same problem, third time? Someone will answer for it.

Election/transition

Spikes

Any hint of leadership change makes everyone demand guarantees.

What decreases it:

Action

Pressure Decrease

Mechanism

Accountability actions

Significant

Someone was punished. The system worked. Move along.

Successful restoration

Moderate

Problem solved. Next?

Guild negotiation

Moderate

Private deals reduce public pressure. “We’ve handled it internally.”

Time without incident

Slow

Pressure slowly dissipates if nothing new happens.

New crisis

Shifts attention

Old pressure forgotten; new pressure emerges elsewhere.

Thresholds for intervention:

Pressure Level

Behaviour

Low

Business as usual. Guilds self-regulate. Patrician observes.

Moderate

Patrician sends a polite inquiry. Guild heads receive dinner invitations.

High

Patrician summons relevant parties. “Suggestions” become firm requests. Watch may be authorized to investigate.

Critical

Direct intervention. Guild charters reviewed. Nobles reminded of past assassinations. Moist von Lipwig assigned to “fix it.”

Extreme

Martial law? Unthinkable in Ankh-Morpork, but if guilds are at war and the river is on fire… Vimes gets emergency powers.

Political stability

What it represents: The absence of coup, revolution, or civil war. Not the same as trust, a stable city can have grumpy citizens. Instability means factions are actively maneuvering against each other or the Patrician.

Starting value: High. Vetinari has arranged things beautifully. Everyone could overthrow him; no one can agree on who would replace him.

Relationship to other metrics:

Metric

Relationship to Stability

Public trust

Direct but not linear. Low trust creates instability if factions organize around it. High trust insulates against faction plotting.

Inequality

Direct. High inequality (Shades vs. Nap Hill) creates structural instability. Doesn’t cause immediate crisis, but magnifies every other trigger.

Guild satisfaction

Critical. If the major guilds are happy, stability is high. If two guilds are feuding, stability drops.

Noble satisfaction

Moderate. Nobles matter less than guilds, but they’re louder.

Regulatory pressure

Inverse. High pressure means something is wrong; stability correlates negatively.

Succession clarity

Implicit. Everyone knows Vetinari is mortal. No clear heir = underlying instability.

What decreases stability:

Trigger

Impact

Mechanism

Guild war

Critical

Thieves vs. Merchants? Assassins vs. Fools? City stops functioning.

Noble conspiracy

High

Letters, secret meetings, mercenary hiring. Usually detected early.

Food/water shortage

High

Hungry people are unstable people.

Trust collapse

Moderate to High

If trust falls far enough, someone will try to capitalize.

Succession trigger

Extreme

Vetinari sneezes twice and the city holds its breath. If he actually dies? Chaos.

External threat

Paradoxical

War usually increases stability (rally around the Patrician), unless the city is losing.

What increases stability:

Action

Impact

Mechanism

Successful crisis management

Significant

Patrician looks competent; plotters pause.

Guild concessions

Moderate

Keeping the guilds happy is job one.

Public works

Mild

Visible investment makes people think the system works.

Accountability actions

Variable

Scapegoating helps; genuine reform helps more.

Time without crisis

Slow

Stability slowly accretes as people forget alternatives.

“Election” thresholds: Ankh-Morpork doesn’t have elections, but it has succession events:

Condition

Succession Risk

Vetinari healthy, guilds stable

Near zero

Vetinari visibly ill

Moderate. Nobles prepare. Guilds watch.

Vetinari incapacitated

High. Council of Guilds meets. Carrot’s name mentioned. Nobles object.

Vetinari dies

Critical. Succession crisis unless clear successor designated (he won’t).

Vetinari resigns

Never happening. He’d haunt the place.

Captain Carrot Ironfoundersson is the wildcard. He’s the rightful heir to the throne, he’s loved by the Watch, respected by dwarfs, and utterly uninterested in power. If stability collapses, his existence is both a threat (someone could use him) and a safety valve (he could unite factions if he chose). He won’t choose. That’s the tension.

Legitimacy

What it represents: The moral and historical right to rule. Different from trust (pragmatic confidence). A leader can be trusted to run things competently but lack legitimacy (usurper). Or have legitimacy but squander trust (incompetent heir).

Starting value: High. Vetinari has ruled for decades, was “elected” by the guilds (however that works), and maintains order. No one questions his right to rule, only his decisions.

How it differs from trust:

Dimension

Trust

Legitimacy

Basis

Performance

Right/History/Tradition

Changes

Fast (incident today)

Slow (accumulated record)

Restoration

Fix the problem

Time, continuity, succession

Loss

Service failure

Coup, assassination, charter violation

Measurement

“Are things working?”

“Should this person be in charge?”

What affects legitimacy:

Action

Legitimacy Impact

Mechanism

Successful long rule

Gradual increase

Vetinari has been here forever; he is the city now.

Guild endorsement

Significant

The guilds elected him; their continued support renews legitimacy.

Clear succession

Establishes baseline

If Carrot took over, legitimacy starts high (rightful heir). If Moist took over… less so.

Coup attempt (failed)

Increases

Surviving a coup proves you’re meant to be there.

Coup attempt (successful)

Resets to zero

New ruler must build legitimacy from scratch.

Mass protests

Decreases

If people are in streets, your right to rule is questioned.

Guild withdrawal of support

Critical decrease

If the guilds stop endorsing you, you’re done.

Assassination attempt (failed)

Paradoxical

Depends on who tried. Assassins’ Guild attempt? Bad. Random lunatic? Actually helps.

Breaking charter

Severe

If Vetinari violated the terms of his own appointment, legitimacy collapses. He won’t.

Recovery rate:

Method

Rate

Mechanism

Time

Very slow

Generations. A usurper’s descendants eventually become “the rightful rulers.”

Military victory

Moderate

Winning a war (especially defensive) builds legitimacy fast.

Dynastic marriage

Moderate

Connecting to previous rulers.

Guild re-endorsement

Significant

A formal vote of confidence resets legitimacy high.

Popular acclaim

Variable

Spontaneous “Long live the Patrician!” moments. Rare.

Carrot’s endorsement

Extreme

If the rightful heir publicly supports you, legitimacy becomes unassailable.

Special case: Carrot: If Carrot ever chose to press his claim, legitimacy would transfer instantly to him. Not because he’d be better (he might be), but because he’s the rightful king. Vetinari knows this. Carrot knows this. Everyone knows this. Carrot’s decision not to claim the throne is the only thing maintaining Vetinari’s ultimate legitimacy. If Carrot ever changed his mind, the Patrician would step aside. Probably with a faint smile.

Metric behaviours

Metric

Starting

Decay Drivers

Recovery Drivers

Special Notes

Public Trust

Moderate (pragmatic acceptance)

Service failures, guild conflict, narrative amplification

Fixes, compensation, accountability

Vimes effect in poor districts; Moist effect on visible projects

Budget

Comfortable reserves

Spending, economic downturn

Taxes, guild loans, tariffs

Guild fees scale with operational buildings; tariffs cut by disruption

Regulatory Pressure

Moderate equilibrium

Guild complaints, noble outcry, media, repeated failures

Accountability, fixes, negotiation

Pressure shifts attention; new crisis replaces old

Political Stability

High (Vetinari’s masterpiece)

Guild war, conspiracy, shortages, succession trigger

Crisis management, concessions, time

Carrot is the ultimate safety valve and the ultimate threat

Legitimacy

High (historical right)

Charter violation, coup, guild withdrawal

Time, victory, endorsement

Carrot’s endorsement = instant max

Passive metric dynamics

Independent of individual events, the engine applies background drift each day:

Regulatory pressure

  • Rises by 1.0 per detected-but-unresponded event, 0.2 per event under remedy

  • Falls by 2.0 after a full quiet week with no visible incidents

Political stability

  • Falls by 2.0 per day when public trust drops below 25

  • Rises by 1.0 after a full incident-free week

Legitimacy

  • Rises by 0.5 per month when political stability has remained above 50

Crime level

  • Rises when Watch coverage falls below 50% (scaled by deficit)

  • Suppressed slowly (−0.1/day) when Watch coverage exceeds 80%

Global trust from district aggregate

  • Recalculated each tick as a weighted average of residential district trust (weighted by density and political influence)

  • Blended 70% district aggregate, 30% existing value for smoothing

Budget income model

Monthly income is applied to the city budget and scaled dynamically by city conditions:

Source

Base amount

Dynamic scaling

Taxes (general)

Configurable

Penalised when public trust < threshold (default 30)

Guild fees

Configurable

Floored at 50%, scaled by fraction of operational guild buildings

Trade tariffs

Configurable

Reduced by 30% per failed transport or food-supply building

University contribution

Configurable

Fixed; politically impossible to increase

This framework gives you everything needed to understand how the city responds to crises, without requiring numerical balance. The Patrician’s decisions become meaningful trade-offs:

  • Fix Nap Hill’s water quickly (high political influence) or Small Gods’ water (more people affected)?

  • Use budget for technical fixes now, or resilience investment for later?

  • Blame the Thieves’ Guild (accountability) and risk their support, or compensate victims and hope the problem doesn’t recur?

  • How long before regulatory pressure from the merchants forces action?

  • Is political stability strong enough to survive a week of river fires?